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Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte (right) shakes hands with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in Manila on November 20, 2018, during Xi’s state visit. Photo: AP
Opinion
Lucio Blanco Pitlo III
Lucio Blanco Pitlo III

China’s growing investment in the Philippines and Hanjin’s collapse stir national security worries

  • Lucio Blanco Pitlo III says Manila faces the dilemma of easing security concerns about foreign equity in crucial sectors without appearing to single out booming Chinese investment
Concerns about a potential Chinese takeover of the bankrupt South Korean shipping giant Hanjin’s shipbuilding unit in the Philippines’ strategic Subic Bay have shone a spotlight on growing security concerns over Chinese investment.
Improved bilateral relations in the past three years has catapulted China to the status of the Philippines’ largest trading partner, second-largest source of inbound tourism and biggest growth driver in local property development. Agricultural exports, tourism and real estate for the growing number of Chinese workers in the booming online gaming business were the first sectors to benefit from booming economic relations.
However, efforts are being made to channel more investment into other areas, notably infrastructure and manufacturing. But while industrial estates and renewable energy projects are welcome, red flags have been raised about Chinese forays into critical and sensitive infrastructure. Chinese interest in the Hanjin shipyard, located in a former US military facility and close to a Philippine naval base, provides a case in point.

The Philippines is actively seeking capital, both foreign and domestic, to upgrade and expand infrastructure to meet burgeoning demand and compete with other fast-growing economies. This will address traffic and logistical constraints, as well as high power, water and telecommunications costs, a perennial complaint of investors.

Subic Bay’s strategic location near a Philippine naval base has led to concerns about who will take ownership after Hanjin’s collapse. Photo: AFP/ US NAVY / Alonzo M. Archer

The country has been easing restrictions on foreign investments. Shipbuilding, for instance, was recently opened for 100 per cent foreign equity investment. China, meanwhile, has emerged as the world’s second-largest outbound investor, a major infrastructure builder and major player in global mergers and acquisitions.

This confluence has presented opportunities for cooperation and friendlier ties under the Duterte administration, providing a conducive investment atmosphere. However, robust economic interaction has not dampened concerns about local patrimony and national security. Shipbuilding, for one, was identified as a strategic and vital industry in the 2018 Philippine National Security Strategy.
Greater scrutiny of Chinese technology investments in the West, as has been the case for Huawei and ZTE, is also sending ripples through the Philippines. Furthermore, the increasing display of Chinese economic statecraft – shown in the 2017 tourism boycott and closure of a chain of South Korean department stores after Seoul allowed the US to install an anti-missile system to ward off threats from North Korea – made some in Manila uneasy over burgeoning Chinese ties.

It is a reminder to the country of its own bitter episode in 2012, when its banana imports and tourism suffered as a result of a fishing incident over a disputed shoal that resulted to a two-month stand-off, leading Manila to initiate arbitration proceedings against Beijing in 2013.

Chinese investment in Philippine public utilities is not unprecedented. In 2008, Chinese-state owned State Grid Corporation bought a 40 per cent stake in the National Grid Corporation of the Philippines. Last year, another state-owned enterprise, China Telecom, teamed up with Davao-based Udenna Corporation to become the country’s third telcoms player.
Elsewhere, China signed a loan agreement and commercial contract for a dam close to Metro Manila, a project management consultancy contract for a railway project to southern Luzon, and a framework agreement for an industrial estate, along with other deals agreed during President Xi Jinping’s November state visit. The Hanjin shipyard may represent the upper threshold for Chinese investment in a geographically sensitive and vital dual-use sector.

The Hanjin case has triggered a national security review on foreign investment. But this raises questions about the consistency of such moves. Indeed, any arbitrary acts may lead Chinese companies to feel singled out, state-owned enterprises discriminated against and Chinese investments oversecuritised, if not overpoliticised.

This may not be the best signal to send, given the intense activity of state-led capital. It may also lead some to question why Chinese investors were welcomed in critical power transmission and telecommunications sectors but not for a shipbuilding plant. Thus, it is imperative for Manila to balance economic and security interests while showing consistency in drawing the line.

The Philippines has several options for addressing the Hanjin debacle. The government and local private sector could jointly take over the facility. Whether this signals state interest in entering the shipbuilding business is for the government to clarify.

Philippine Defence Secretary Delfin Lorenzana (centre) has suggested that the government could take over the Subic Bay shipping unit of the bankrupt Hanjin shipbuilder. Photo: Reuters

Whether there are enough local players to absorb Hanjin’s expenses and sustain its operations at a time of gloomy prospects for the global shipping industry is another matter. The precedent this will set for other beleaguered sectors also cannot be ignored.

Another option is to diversify shareholding by inviting more local and foreign investors, in an effort to possibly dilute Chinese influence. The option of nationalising foreign and private investments with offers of compensation when deemed necessary should also be on the table.

For all the trouble caused by the Hanjin unit’s closure, there may be a positive side. It seems to have highlighted the need to review laws that deregulated and privatised state assets, as well as the contracts signed. This may ensure national security is not compromised in such commercial transactions, especially those involving public utilities and infrastructure. This makes for a salient issue as the country gears up for its midterm elections in May.

Lucio Blanco Pitlo III is a research fellow at the Asia-Pacific Pathways to Progress Foundation, a lecturer on Chinese Studies at Ateneo de Manila University and contributing editor (reviews) for the Asian Politics & Policy Journal. He also sits on the Board of the Philippine Association for China Studies

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