How Hong Kong can find its role as China and the Middle East draw closer
- Hong Kong can help smooth out the obstacles as China seeks to be a strong player in the Middle East and North Africa, a region becoming a new engine of growth
- Hong Kong should strive to become a trusted platform for investments between the mainland and the Arab world
China, meanwhile, faced with the reality that its honeymoon with the Western world is over, needs to ensure that its role as the world’s leading developing country is stable. It cannot afford to have anti-China sentiments develop in traditionally China-friendly regions.
Arab countries are good old friends to China, but despite this friendly heritage, the relationship is a long way from its full potential.
In past decades, both sides have been focused elsewhere, but new global geostrategic developments are a catalysing force, pushing them to forge a closer relationship with each other. Like two old friends rediscovering each other, close attention will be required for this bond to succeed.
A new generation of Arab leaders are taking their positions, administrators who have not necessarily inherited the thinking and ideology of their predecessors. Good impressions were made in meeting the region’s new young leadership, forward-thinking people who have received a good education and speak multiple languages.
Oil prices are likely to stay high for now, which will help in the region’s transformation from primarily a fossil energy producer to become one of the world’s main bankers and investors. This, in turn, will boost the region’s bold adoption of futuristic industries such as Web3 and cryptocurrency-related mandates.
The Russia-Ukraine crisis means that Middle East and North Africa region has become the only optional energy source for Europe to replace Russia, hence stability there is a priority. Above all, the region’s people are tired of politics and eager to catch up with the modern world.
China – for historical reasons, including a lack of interest – is the only global power with a very limited knowledge of the region, when its competitors are very well-acquainted with the region.
The strategic engagement both parties seek requires decision-makers to develop a strong personal understanding. This will be tough.
China’s political system prevents officials from showing their personal side, when Arab leaders are used to more personal ties which give them the confidence and support needed to navigate the relationship towards strategic levels. It is most important that business elites build relationships and form the same bonds that both parties have with the West.
Hong Kong is a hub for global business, has dealt with the Western world for a long time, and has the trust of the mainland business community. This formula can be used to create a service offered not only to the Arab world but also to emerging markets, where most of the next decade’s economic growth will come from.
Today, East Asian countries are the biggest trading partners of their western Asian brothers. The centre of gravity of global power is shifting steadily back to Asia, and Hong Kong is in an excellent position to reinvent itself as a catalyst of change, and become the champion of this movement.
Dr Karim Alwadi is an entrepreneur/scholar based in Beijing since 2001 and the author of “China Phobia: A Wasted Opportunity”