Topic

China's economic recoveryi

This topic charts China's economic recovery as it, in 2023, enters an era of slower growth, along with an ageing and shrinking workforce, weak consumer demand and a property market downturn.

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  • State news agency rejects allegations that Chinese EV firms are exporting a glut of electric vehicles
  • Accusations reflect anxieties abroad about critics’ own industrial development, it says
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Creating enough jobs for its young people remains a daunting challenge for Beijing, with the key private sector struggling to shake off scars of the coronavirus pandemic.

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Air China will start to add international flights from Sunday, while bookings ahead of May Day holiday have surged, but flights to US are having a sluggish recovery.

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China’s yuan has lost more value against the US dollar as interest rate cuts have yet to materialise, leading exporters to find whatever alternative assets they can until exchange differentials subside.

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China is reviewing amendments to laws governing statistics and accounting, with Beijing eager to clamp down on inflated or manipulated economic statistics and uphold rules in the world’s second-largest financial market.

The People’s Bank of China has indicated its approval for trading treasury bonds on the secondary market, signalling more robust action to boost liquidity and fuel growth is no longer out of the question.

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Chinese farmers are keeping the fewest pigs for breeding since 2020, raising hopes of sustained profitability after years of losses. But the turnaround may not speak to the broader economy, analysts say.

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Former government adviser says Chinese officials must ‘have the foresight to make good predictions’ amid China’s new quality productive forces strategy shift.

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China could face a third wave of corporate bond defaults, induced by high financing costs, slow economic growth and tighter government policies, S&P analysts said. Local government financing vehicles may be the weakest link.

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Foreign buyers have returned to China’s largest trade exhibition, drawn by the array of new energy vehicles and other green products on offer at the Canton Fair.

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Despite its attempts to woo back foreign investment, China has yet to see a hoped-for return of overseas capital as enterprises express hesitation to jump back into the fray.

In this week’s issue of the Global Impact newsletter, we take the temperature of US-China relations at a difficult time for Beijing as it seeks to solidify the recovery of the world’s second-largest economy.

Beijing’s prudent monetary moves and an emphasis on restructuring local government debt have sparked debate over how long it will take policymakers to ‘walk it off’.

China must emphasise modern services in its push for new productive forces, Sheng Songcheng says, flagging the need for a hi-tech, high-quality service sector.

Rainfall in the southwest province of Yunnan, which is one of China’s leading hydropower producers, fell by 42.3 per cent compared to normal levels this year.

Germany’s Allianz Global Investors looks forward to tapping mainland China’s ‘vast potential and steady growth’ after getting the green light to operate an onshore fund management company there, says regional head.

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Asia official with Washington-based agency points to the PBOC’s policy moves, as well as China’s infrastructure spending, as economic bellwethers in the face of headwinds.

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China’s coming May Day holiday already has the makings of a major tourism rush, with early bookings exceeding pre-pandemic levels and the travel boom likely to fuel a much-desired round of consumption.

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Prominent government adviser Liu Yuanchun says the immediate future will be marked by disequilibrium, and more non-economic risks are emerging than economic ones, after first-quarter GDP growth impresses.

As well as programmes in industry and education, local governments are encouraged to provide perks, including incentives in housing, start-up investment and schooling and jobs for the family of digital workers.

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China’s widely watched gross domestic product (GDP) figure beat expectations in the first three months of the year, but retail sales growth dropped in March and property investment fell by 9.5 per cent in the first quarter.

While first-quarter GDP data shows China is on course to meet its full-year economic growth target, policymakers are still being called on to bolster demand and introduce stronger policy support.

After the release of China’s first-quarter GDP growth, International Monetary Fund says the lack of a ‘comprehensive response’ could lead to less economic growth than Beijing is hoping for this year.

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The move by Fitch Ratings comes a week after it cut its projection for the country’s sovereign credit rating, reflecting pessimism in the world’s second largest economy and concerns over Beijing’s capacity to support its biggest lenders.

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Prices weakened in March, extending sequential erosion since May 2023. China’s efforts to stem declines in home prices have not produced the desired results, prompting Goldman Sachs to predict a more aggressive policy response.

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