How Southeast Asia can avoid the perils of the West’s fragile democracy
- Growing economic inequality has weakened centuries-old democracies, giving an opportunity for Trump and other demagogues to rise
- To avoid the pitfalls the West fell for, Southeast Asia must address the disparity and invest in its people, their health and education
Angola, Haiti and Cambodia are “banana republics”: countries where the rule of law has been traduced by a man or woman or group seeking their own aggrandisement.
There is a new addition to this list: the United States. As one of the oldest and proudest of the world’s democracies, this country’s appalling downgrade is testament to one man’s work.
A decade defined by collective amnesia: Trump, Brexit – and now India
The Americans have demonstrated that the highest office in their land and the most powerful in the world – the presidency – can be manipulated for personal gain, that their political elite will actively enable this.
All of that has gone out of the window now.
If the Yanks who want to “Make America Great Again” are living in a banana republic – their British cousins who want to “regain control” via Brexit exist in a posh-boy rerun of Downton Abbey crossed with 1917 and the Raj Quartet.
What happened? How have centuries-old democracies become so fragile and even self-destructive?
First: inequality has got out of hand. The neoliberal, trickle-down economic policies launched by Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher in the late 1970/80s fuelled a massive shift in prosperity from workers and the middle-classes to owners and shareholders. Real wages stagnated and tax policies benefited the recipients of dividends not generated by their own labour.
Subsequently, more centrist leaders such as Bill Clinton, Tony Blair and Barack Obama maintained much of the same policies. And the numbers do not lie.
When Thatcher came to power in 1979, the UK manufacturing industry employed 6.8 million people – by 2016 this had fallen to 2.6 million. In 2017, three of the US’ richest individuals collectively held more wealth than the bottom 50% of their country’s population – 160 million people. Gini coefficients, a measure of inequality, are shooting up on both sides of the Atlantic.
Moreover, the advent of social media allowed fake and demagogic information to be spread quickly as well as unchecked, shifting the national discourse and mood almost at will.
Meanwhile, ethnic and religious minorities as well as women – rightfully – sought greater representation in the public life and culture of the West.
However, the failure of the Anglo-American elite to address the above-mentioned inequalities led the white-majority working classes to feel that their leaders were more interested in playing identity politics than protecting them.
This gave the opportunity for Trump and other demagogues to rise. Economic inequities and cultural insecurities fuelled white nativist impulses.
It’s not clear if the progressives can blunt this wave. British Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn failed dismally and the chaos in Iowa Democratic Party caucuses only underlines the gloom.
Their mistakes aside – democracy is still the best way forward – especially for multiracial and multi-religious countries.
What’s key is to avoid the pitfalls the West fell for. We must address the growing inequality of our societies. Growth alone will not bring stability and peace.
Leaders ignore warning signs like this at their peril. We must invest in our people: their safety, health, education and skills.
Next, social media must be brought to heel. Hate speech and deliberately provocative postings must be curbed without resorting to undue repression.
The obvious racial and religious fissures in our societies must be managed very carefully. Common ground needs to be found – or created – between our majority and minority communities.
And we must remain engaged: both informed about the issues and vigilant against cynical manipulators of our insecurities.
It may seem like a daunting task when our former colonial masters and role models have failed so miserably. There is no choice. We cannot join the Americans and the British in the rubbish dump of history.