For China and Indonesia, a delicate balancing act for better ties
- Beijing and Jakarta haven’t always had a smooth friendship, with domestic political dynamics being a major driver of Indonesia’s foreign policy
- But China needs to navigate its relationship with Southeast Asia’s largest economy on new terms it has hitherto been unused to in dealing with Asia
Views of China as Indonesia’s most significant external threat have eased and it has been welcomed as a funder and business partner. But among security observers, suspicions over Beijing’s intentions – and questions over Indonesia’s economic reliance on China – persist and have fuelled the belief that Jakarta should take a more strident tone towards Beijing’s expansive maritime claims.
China and Indonesia’s fruitful, complicated relationship 70 years on
While domestic polling conducted last year found that those who believe China is “harmful” to Indonesia or that Widodo, popularly known as Jokowi, is a “handmaid” of China are in the minority, the findings also showed that such perceptions had grown over the years.
These factors will continue to govern Indonesia’s ties with China even amid new opportunities arising from changing geopolitical realities and the coronavirus pandemic.
For Jokowi, who returned to power last year on the back of promises to boost social programmes and infrastructure to propel Indonesia towards developed country status, foreign investment has become all the more crucial to ensure he can leave behind a legacy when his current and final term ends in 2024.
In Jokowi, Xi has found a pragmatic counterpart who prioritises domestic economic gains over diplomatic leadership.
Widodo, Xi look to strengthen China-Indonesia ties
Jokowi, according to a Facebook post after the call, made clear that public health and the economy would be priorities in Indonesia’s crisis-time approach to foreign affairs. He praised the green lane that Indonesia and China have for essential diplomatic and business travel.
But ongoing unhappiness at the return of mainland Chinese workers to staff mining operations in Indonesia’s resource-rich provinces has led to protests amid rising local unemployment, bringing to mind a point that Fortuna Anwar raised in her paper, published by Singapore’s Iseas-Yusof Ishak Institute.
She said if the issues that had arisen in Indonesia-China bilateral relations were left unattended, they may “jeopardise all the gains that have been made, including Indonesia’s hard-won and still fragile interracial harmony”.
There are dividends to be had if both Indonesia and China can better align their interests. Jokowi will need to show political dexterity at harnessing China’s capacity to help, while at the same time holding the line on anti-Chinese sentiments at home.
And for Beijing to move ties with Indonesia forward, it will need to understand how to navigate this relationship on new terms it has hitherto been unused to in its dealings in Asia, given that its current frameworks of reference range from big power rivalry to small states balancing all sides to client states.
Xi’s remarks during Monday’s call acknowledged Indonesia’s unique position in the region, when he said China attaches great importance to Indonesia’s status and role in international and regional affairs.
Indeed, Indonesia – in spite of what critics say about its lacklustre diplomatic leadership under Jokowi – as a sizeable country and a co-founder of Asean, aims to stake its rightful place in an evolving regional architecture.